Review
20.03
Review
From minimum deterrence to maximum threat: will China enter into a nuclear arms race with the US?
20.03
Sanctions
Review
Will Russia have enough money for the war? Oil prices are falling, but the IEA predicts an increase in demand by the end of the year, rendering sanctions ineffective
17.03
Review
Dictator at War: Lessons from the Protracted Iran-Iraq War of the 1980s
15.03
Review
The Chef in the Kitchen of Dirty Deeds: researchers have mapped the company activity of Yevgeny Prigozhin, while The New York Times predicts that he will continue to battle for political influence after military defeat
14.03
Review
The Geography of Weapons: the war in Ukraine has significantly altered the structure of the global arms trade, with Russia on the way to losing its position as the world’s second-largest arms exporter
13.03
Review
Domestic Foreign Policy: Biden will need to reckon with the fact that Americans largely perceive China as the greatest threat to US interests, not Russia
10.03
Review
Import Substitution Woes: companies using Russian-made products report quality issues
10.03
War
Review
War Data: OSINT technology has transformed modern warfare into a ‘people’s warfare’, so that now anyone with an Internet connection can take part
08.03
Review
An Illusion of Growth: even if the central bank improves its forecast for the Russian economy, the quality of growth will remain low
07.03
Polls
Review
The Fog of War and The Climate of Opinion: polls indicate rising pro-war sentiments, increasingly positive assessments of the success of the ‘special military operation,’ and growing fear of pollsters
07.03
Review
Optimistic Stagnation: despite optimism from business managers and the government, Russian industrial production fell at the beginning of 2023
06.03
Propaganda
Review
The Non-Mobilising Web: How pro-Kremlin media laid the groundwork for the invasion of Ukraine
03.03
Review
Anxious Loyalty: Appeals to the President from Russian citizens reflect the evolving profile of social well-being in the midst of war
02.03
Review
Burning Daylight: Sanctions against Russian oil are ineffective due to a lack of effective compliance and control mechanisms
28.02
Review
Tactical migration: The levels of labour migration grew in 2022, but are still far below pre-pandemic levels. The Russian authorities are seeking to use these migrants as resources for their war
27.02
Review
Re: Russia in the First Year of the War. Six critical analytical perspectives
24.02
Review
Grave Loyalty: the payouts offered by the Russian government for those killed in Ukraine are worth only slightly more than the price Russians place on their own lives
23.02
Polls
Review
Coercive Cohesion: both in Russia and Ukraine, the results of opinion polls should be treated with caution during times of war
22.02
Review
How Effective Has the Government’s Support for Small Businesses Been? Not very effective at all, according to data collected by FOM
21.02
Review
Humanitarian Mission or Genocide? Russia is implementing a programme for the re-education of Ukrainian children taken from the occupied territories
20.02
Review
Global Risk Society: the Russian-Ukrainian war has increased global risk perceptions, but differences between countries continue
20.02
War
Review
Big War Returns: what lessons have been learnt a year into the first major conventional military campaign of the 21st century?
17.02
Review
A Revision of Revisionism: A new Munich Security Report contends that, in order to successfully confront the world’s autocrats, the West must revise its vision of the international order
17.02
Sanctions
Review
Who is Helping Russia Fight? As the war approaches its one-year mark, sanctions remain largely symbolic according to Russian customs data
16.02
Review
Changing Identity: How have politics altered Russia’s demographics since the 2021 National Census?
15.02
Review
Winter is Coming: experts advise the EU to reduce its gas consumption in preparation for next year
13.02
Polls
Review
Navalny Forgotten: the politician's significant decline in the politician’s visibility and recognition over the past 11 months appears to be yet another paradox of wartime public opinion
10.02
Review
Communities and Hromadas: how effective self-governance reform has helped Ukraine to resist the invasion
10.02
Review
Apples and Oranges: Russian industries post opposing statistics
09.02
Review
Prolonged War or Imminent Defeat? American think tank RAND Corporation presents the Biden administration with an alarmist plan
07.02
Review
Between a Rock and a Hard Place: the vast majority of Russian businesses report rising costs, but low demand prevents price increases
07.02
Review
Invisible Violence: unorganised extremism and hate becomes less visible as state repression increases
06.02
Repressions
Review
Online on the Line: repression of free speech and the war have led to the construction of ‘Runet 2.0’ and the ever-increasing isolation of the original
06.02
Review
Staffing Gaps: war and sanctions have led to a worker shortage in Russia despite record low unemployment
03.02
Review
Is the West Experiencing War Fatigue? What Opinion Polls Tell Us About the Willingness of America and Germany to Extend Military Support to Ukraine
02.02
Review
‘The Putin Effect”: the Russian invasion has led to increased support for democracy and European integration, even among residents of Southern Europe.
02.02
Review
Horizontal Stabilisation: central bank analysts confirm that while Russia’s economy has adapted to sanctions, most industries will continue to stagnate
01.02
Sanctions
Review
The Not-so-peaceful Atom: can Europe afford sanctions against Russian nuclear power?
01.02
Review
Rising Budget Optimism: January’s economic activity was boosted by large end-of-year funding injections by the government
31.01
Review
Civil Society: one in five rubles allocated by presidential grants is spent on pro-war projects, while socially oriented NGOs face financial hardship
31.01
War
Review
Hidden by the Fog of War: assessing the number of civilian casualties in Ukraine
30.01
Repressions
Review
Tightening the Screws: since the beginning of December, Russian authorities have identified a new foreign agent and opened a new criminal case every day
30.01
Review
A Discordant Chorus of Hawks: how authoritarian wartime public policy works
26.01
Review
Economic Demobilisation: polling by FOM shows that the mood among small businesses significantly deteriorated in the autumn of 2022
25.01
Review
The Central Bank and Consumers Want More ‘Toxicity’: the fate of the ruble depends on the effectiveness of Western sanctions on Russian oil
24.01
Review
The Allies vs Everyone Else: although the world may condemns the Russian invasion, only certain countries are willing to fund Ukraine’s resistance
23.01
Review
The Sanctions Struggle: politicians and experts are focused on the question of how best to enforce restrictions on high-tech imports
19.01
Polls
Review
Foreign Agents and Wartime Anomalies: polling shows increasing distortions in public opinion in 2022
18.01
Review
L-shaped Stability: end of year industrial production in Russia neither declined nor grew
17.01
War
Review
Counter Mobilisation: the quantity of weapons promised to Ukraine is not enough to compensate for Russia's advantage in the next stage of the war
16.01
Review
A Decade of Darkness: how the war in Ukraine has altered our understanding of the future of humanity
13.01
Review
The Favourable Crisis Climate: businesses have improved their assessments of trade conditions, but express little hope for drastic improvements in the future
12.01
Review
An Imperialist War But Not a Nationalist one: the Russian right has grown their audience, but their agenda is now indistinguishable from that of the government.
11.01
Review
Generals Preparing for a Future War: foreign policy experts identify lessons to be learnt from the war in Ukraine
22.12.22
Review
In The Embrace Of Hate: the Kremlin's policy has radically altered the geopolitical orientation of Ukrainian society
21.12.22
Propaganda
Review
Guns Instead of Butter: the Russian pro-government media is more willing to tell the public about the war, and are ‘squeezing’ economic topics out of the news agenda
20.12.22
Review
‘With Ukraine, Against Ukrainians.’ Poland Has Taken in a Record Number of Ukrainian Refugees, but According to Experts, Such an Influx of Migrants Is Fraught With Increasing Social Tension
19.12.22
Review
Opium For Europe: lack of a competitive alternative to Russian gas makes pragmatists discuss the hypothetical possibility of its return to the European market
15.12.22
Review
Post-War Reforms In Ukraine Will Be Aimed At Broad Integration With The EU And Non-Cooperation With Russia
14.12.22
Review
De-Russification Of Ukraine: Russian aggression became the major factor in the consolidation of Ukraine as a nation-state
13.12.22
Review
Negative Adaptability: the Russian economy copes with the shocks of war and sanctions through strategic simplification
12.12.22
Polls
Review
Normative Loyalty: loyalty to the war and official rhetoric among pollsters surveyed remains high, although there are very few war enthusiasts
09.12.22
War
Review
Failed State: even early 2000s "terrorists" are sent to fight in Ukraine
09.12.22
Review
"Ukraine Comes First": Berlin has recognized the exhaustion and fallacy of the course toward special relations with Russia, which it has adhered to for the last fifty years
08.12.22
Review
Sustained Unsustainable Stagnation: the Russian economy is supported by technological regression, the production of shells and military uniforms
07.12.22
Review
Statistical Illusion: Russia has mostly restored its imports, but not the right one, and not from the right places
06.12.22
Polls
Review
The War Is Stuck: the tension of mobilisation has diminished, supporters of peace negotiations remain in the majority, but a less overwhelming one
05.12.22
Review
A Preventive Defeat: no matter how the war ends, Russia will come out of it weakened and will be forced to adopt a "self-limiting" policy, experts say
02.12.22
Sanctions
Review
The Race of Restrictions: sanctions may not critically damage a large economy, but they may permanently undermine its technological competitiveness potential
01.12.22
Review
Black Swans Through Rose-tinted Glasses: consumer sentiment and economic expectations of Russians in November improved again after the fall of October
30.11.22
Review
Expectations Oscilloscope: business climate index fluctuates along with shifts in business sentiment amid stagnation, low demand, and deteriorating lending conditions
29.11.22
Propaganda
Review
"Kremlin Trolls Never Sleep": Russian propaganda campaigns on European social media are not very effective but can cause problems in crisis situations
29.11.22
Repressions
Review
Autumn Repressions: decline of protests and detentions, development of the fight against "foreign agents," and totalitarian practices
28.11.22
Mobilisation
Review
The Stolen War: mobilisation in Russia is carried out by a special presidential department, but only one-fifth of allocated funds were spent for their intended purpose
28.11.22
Review
Lending For The Poor: loan portfolio dynamics indicates rising business costs and shrinking consumers' demand
24.11.22
Review
Retail vs. the State Statistics Service: Russians reduce purchases and suffer from the crisis despite the official statistics
23.11.22
Review
COP27 Summary: the war in Ukraine has aggravated disputes over energy transition strategies, but Russia will be able to take minimal advantage of its stretched scenario
23.11.22
War
Review
Criminal-Patriotic War: the contractual army crisis has forced the Kremlin to rely on informal armies and criminal contingents
22.11.22
Repressions
Review
The Fight Against Vandalism, Punitive Psychiatry, and the Criminalization of Geography: Major Trends in the Repressive Activities of the Russian Authorities
21.11.22
Review
A Shot in Both Legs: war and sanctions deprive the Russian economy of the opportunity to adapt to the energy transition, China will take advantage of Russia
17.11.22
Review
Nuclear Non-Deterrence: war in Ukraine makes non-conclusion of a new treaty on strategic offensive arms limitation more plausible
17.11.22
Review
Offshorization of Integration: war and sanctions are leading to a fundamental change in the Eurasian Economic Union's nature
16.11.22
Review
Systemic Chinese Threat: experts discuss how the United States can maintain its leadership
16.11.22
Polls
Review
The Inclusion Of Occupied Ukrainian Territories In Russia Has Not Met Any Emotional Response Among Russians: by the end of October, only 6% of the respondents remembered about this event
15.11.22
Review
Double Pressure: Russia's budget problems will sharply aggravate in the first half of 2023
15.11.22
War
Review
Negotiating a Future War: the world wants Ukraine to agree on freezing the conflict, while Putin has already created a pretext for a new invasion
14.11.22
Propaganda
Review
Telegram's Frankenstein: how social media dynamics are changing the political agenda in Russia
11.11.22
Review
Russia Is Losing Its Political and Military Influence in Central Asia, But Still Holds Sway Over Television
09.11.22
Review
Forecast Fog: the Russian Central Bank has improved its forecast for the Russian economy, but admits that reality could worsen it
08.11.22
Review
The New Digital Order: digital assets will be developed to bypass sanctions in cross-border payments
08.11.22
Review
A Passing Casualty: the build-up of a "regional grouping" In Belarus indicates rather the dismantling Of Belarusian sovereignty than preparing for war
04.11.22
Review
October Worsening: leading economic indicators show sharp drop in services
04.11.22
Propaganda
Review
Twitter Weapons: the war of narratives around the confrontation between Russia and the West is taking over the world and has been moderately successful so far
03.11.22
War
Review
The Kremlin Is Betting on Human Forces in the War, But With the Support of the Western Coalition Kyiv Will Be Able to Counteract It by Building up Technological Advantage and Mobility of Troops, Analysts Say
02.11.22
Review
The Fading Face of the Non-Military Economy: in September, industry was still showing signs of recovery. In October, there will be nothing left of It but a defense sector
02.11.22
Review
Not Everyone Has Left: the exodus of iconic international brands from Russia made a lot of noise, but in reality, about half of the foreign companies that worked here before the war still remain on the Russian market
01.11.22
Review
Mobilisation of Pessimism: surveys record slight increase in Inflation expectations and significant decline in expectations about the economic future
31.10.22
Polls
Review
Support For the War Among Russians Is Rapidly Declining But Has Not Yet Converted Into Rising Opposition, New "Levada-Center" Polls Show
28.10.22
War
Review
Russia Has a Developed Infrastructure for Biological Weapons Production, Which Can Be Used in the War with Ukraine
28.10.22
Repressions
Review
Monitoring of Repressions: decline in anti-mobilisation protests, increase of criminal prosecutions and "foreign agents" punishment
26.10.22
Review
Due to the War with Ukraine, Russia is Losing influence in the Post-Soviet Territory, but it Could Lead to Serious Destabilisation in the Whole Region
25.10.22
Review
Municipal Cleansing: the Kremlin has crushed the remains of the opposition onslaught of the late 2010s
25.10.22
Review
Geography of the Sanctions Crisis: reorientation to the East undermines the competitiveness of the Russian economy
24.10.22
Polls
Review
"To Be a Man": polls show fairly high loyalty to the announced mobilisation despite gradual decline in the war support
24.10.22
Review
Frontal Reversal: Russian business climate is back to the crisis, Central Bank of Russia monitoring shows
20.10.22
Review
The Last Herald: The Central Bank of Russia admits that mobilisation has suspended economic stabilisation
20.10.22
Review
Exports of Corruption and Corruption in Exports: Transparency International notes another deterioration in the fight against corruption in international trade
19.10.22
Review
The Partial Mobilisation of Fridges: Washington Report sheds light on eight months of sanctions against “Putin’s War” and the Russian Military Complex
19.10.22
Polls
Review
Despite War Fatigue, Ukrainian Society Not Polarised on Key Issue: its occupied territories must be returned
18.10.22
Polls
Review
The Frustration of the Mobilisation: Russian Society’s Spring-Summer Optimism Replaced by Confusion and Scepticism
07.10.22
Review
Left-right "Anti-colonialism": why India does not support Western sanctions
06.10.22
Mobilisation
Review
Fraud Mobilisation: the authorities reported the draft of 200 thousand people in two weeks but don't know what to do with them
05.10.22
Review
Optimistic Recession: September's leading economic indicators show improvement despite demand stagnation
05.10.22
Review
Russia After: amid Putin's failure in the war with Ukraine, experts and elites focus more on power transit scenarios and the search for a presidential successor
04.10.22
Review
IMF warns of a widespread hunger threat in the poorest countries, and Russia will likely use the "Grain Deal" to criticize the West but won't break it
03.10.22
Review
For the first time since 1975, Russia has a negative migration balance, and by the end of the year, the population will decrease by more than a million
03.10.22
Review
Paradoxes of Adjustment: long-term economic expectations worsen, but lowered expectations make assessments of current income and economic situation more positive
27.09.22
Mobilisation
Review
Yandex-Mobilisation: what search requests say about the mood of Russians
26.09.22
Review
Russian’s surge of economic optimism finally over and replaced with stagnation, rather than depression, polls show
23.09.22
Mobilisation
Review
The Special Operation and the Mobilisation: the need to make up for military losses and neutralise the Ukrainian army’s advantage forced the Kremlin into an unpopular and ineffective decision
22.09.22
Sanctions
Review
As Russia’s seaborne oil exports fall and its budget revenues slide, the negative impact of sanctions on the economy and ordinary Russians increases
21.09.22
Review
The New Russians: most successful and critical part of society leaving the country
20.09.22
Review
European experts recommend the EU to implement a comprehensive plan for Ukraine; a strategy for ensuring its development and integration into European society, bypassing routine procedures
20.09.22
Review
The European Union needs a coordinated approach to address the energy crisis. instead, member States are Opting for inward-looking national policies
19.09.22
Polls
Review
Geopolitics, Escapism, Depression: Researchers have analysed 213 interviews to understand Russians' attitudes to war
19.09.22
Review
Two thirds of Americans believe the US should support Ukraine until it returns all occupied territories
16.09.22
Review
Russia’s Asian breakthrough unlikely to happen soon, according to Central Bank’s analytical review of the problems plaguing the Russian export sector
15.09.22
Review
Faltering propaganda and the theft of the opposition’s language: Russian propaganda highly adaptable, hijacks words used by war dissidents
14.09.22
Repressions
Review
Resisting the resistance: repressions against Opponents of the war are systematic, but not widespread
14.09.22
Review
The Battle for People: forcible removal of Ukrainians to Russian territory should be classified as deportation and war сrimes, Human Rights Watch says
13.09.22
Review
The Economy of Waiting: after four months of growth PMI Business Activity Index falls; slump of the Central Bank’s similar index stopped only by entrepreneurs faith in a prosperous future
12.09.22
Review
The Road to Turkmenistan: regional elections in 2022 clouded in silence, intimidation and the mobilisation of “state-dependent” voters
12.09.22
Review
Re: Russia — Relaunch: new website, new design and a convenient way to sign up for our newsletter
12.09.22
Polls
Review
The opinions of Russians on whether to continue military action in Ukraine or move to peace talks are almost evenly divided, Levada Center poll shows
05.08.22
Sanctions
Review
The Hybrid Resistance Economy: Russian Central Bank outlines the financial architecture of Russian economy's survival “without the West”
04.08.22
War
Review
Cyber War: international cooperation and horizontal coordination helped Ukraine resist Russian cyber aggression, experts believe
29.07.22
Review
IMF described scenarios for a complete halt to Russian gas supplies and its consequences for Europe: with market integration and higher consumer prices the damage will be half as much
28.07.22
Review
Gloomy and Gloomier: IMF has lowered its Global Economic Forecast and predicts stagnation for European economies and the US if Russian gas supplies are cut off
27.07.22
Review
The first crisis wave continues to subside, Central Bank survey shows
25.07.22
Repressions
Review
Limit on Party Voting and Attack on Freedom of the Speech: how the authorities are getting ready for the September elections
21.07.22
Sanctions
Review
The number of companies experiencing issues with import supplies has halved, but remains high, surveys of the Central Bank show
19.07.22
Review
The decline dynamic in the Russian economy is fairly modest due to the economy’s relatively Low engagement in the global value chains, analysts of the Central Bank of Russia believe
18.07.22
Review
The Сrisis is yet to peak, and the formal recession will come in the third quarter, macroeconomic trends show
10.07.22
War
Review
War of Attrition: The outcome of the war in Ukraine will depend almost entirely on whether the West can organize arms deliveries in a rational and focused manner
08.07.22
Review
Russian gas exports to Europe could drop by 75% by 2025, it would take Russia at least a decade to redirect that volume to Asia, the International Energy Agency forecasts
06.07.22
Review
Over the past two decades, the level of Russia’s economic diversification has remained virtually unchanged, new international index shows
29.06.22
Sanctions
Review
Worse Gets Better: Central Bank surveys show signs of import substitution, decline of production in extractive industries and a general reduction in the intensity of negative assessments
27.06.22
Polls
Review
Support for Ukraine in Europe remains high, but the differences between Northern and Southern Europe are becoming more pronounced, a Eurobarometer survey shows
27.06.22
Sanctions
Review
The Government should focus on supporting those industries that have been increasingly competitive globally over the past decade, but may lose export markets due to sanctions, experts say
23.06.22
Review
Vicious Circle of Crisis: the war in Ukraine might cause the greatest drop in living standards in the XXI Century for hundreds of million of people, the UN expert group warns
22.06.22
Sanctions
Review
Since the start of the war at least half of the major foreign companies operating in Russia have limited their activities in one way or another, but another half stayed
22.06.22
Review
Reverse Bankrunning: money returned to banks, but the economy shows little demand for it, says the Central Bank May Review of the Banking Sector
21.06.22
War
Review
The Wrong War: Russian Military exercises did not prepare the army for full-scale offensive war
20.06.22
Review
Russian entrepreneurs are optimistic despite more than half of them expecting a drop in sales by year’s end
18.06.22
Review
Russia.Post: sociologists, historians, and political scientists discuss Russia after the invasion of Ukraine
17.06.22
Review
Slowing growth and high global inflation are affecting low-income countries the most, but developed economies are also feeling the hurt, reports by the OECD and the European Investment Bank show
15.06.22
War
Review
Counter-Reform Fallout: British analysts believe that the failures of Russian Intelligence in Ukraine are connected to the way the FSB evolved under Putin
15.06.22
War
Review
The "Genocide" Controversy: the New Lines Institute and the Raoul Wallenberg Centre for Human Rights have attempted to define whether Russian invasion of Ukraine is genocidal in character
14.06.22
Review
By end of year personal incomes could fall by 7–12%, purchase of durable goods will decline and savings will become less attractive
13.06.22
Repressions
Review
181 Blocked Media, 150 Criminal Cases and 59 New Foreign Agents: Russian human rights activists published a report on wartime repressions
10.06.22
Sanctions
Review
70% of German economists believe that tariffs on Russian oil and gas imports are more effective than the embargo. Survey by the ifo Institute
10.06.22
Review
The Law Against Trading with Autocracies: most German economists consider it inconvenient, but necessary
10.06.22
Review
Slowdown in Global Growth and Inflation on the Rise: Is the world in for a long-term stagflation? World Bank forecast
10.06.22
Sanctions
Review
Six Crisis Channels: the Central Bank economists assessed the effect of sanctions on the financial sector
09.06.22
Review
The Decline Gains Momentum: April’s outputs have fallen in seven out of nine sectors of the Russian economy
05.06.22
War
Review
Mediazona discovered 60 tons of parcels sent by Russian soldiers from Ukraine back home, to small towns with a lower standard of living
05.06.22
Review
Summertime Optimism: May PMI Indexes Escaped "the Negative Zone" — Mainly Due to Businessmen's Hopes That Demand Would Grow
29.05.22
Sanctions
Review
Import cuts will cost the Russian economy 4–10% of GDP, while China will only partially replace trade supply from advanced economies, says Bank of Finland Analytics Center
29.05.22
Sanctions
Review
Buyers' Cartel: Russian oil consumers need to negotiate lower prices by setting up an "Anti-OPEC"
27.05.22
Review
User Migration: In three months of war and restrictions by the government social networks in Russia lost 10% of regular contributors and 8% daily content
27.05.22
Review
Reversible Justice: Jury acquittals are on the rise, but the verdicts are being increasingly overturned
27.05.22
War
Review
Commanders of the Invasion: an Investigation by Proekt Media Presented a Portrait of Russian Army Leadership Waging a War in Ukraine
27.05.22
Sanctions
Review
The Geopolitical Polygon: why India would not join sanctions against Moscow
08.05.22
War
Review
"Responsibility to Protect" or "License to Attack": the justification for the Russian aggression against Ukraine once again raises questions about the interpretation of "Sovereignty" and the conditions for its violation