Review
21.09
Sanctions
Review
Naked Goliath: Russia's defence industry has failed to solve the shortage of imported components as equipment and weapons reserves are being depleted
20.09
Review
Demand Comes and Goes: The intensive growth of consumption in Russia will soon be replaced by stagnation, or even contraction
19.09
Propaganda
Review
'US Intelligence Is Planning to Assassinate Zelensky': Pro-Russian disinformation in Central Europe in August 2023
18.09
Review
Three Europes: There are varying levels of support for Ukraine across the EU
18.09
Review
Alliance of 'Nuclear Pariahs': Collaboration between Russia, Iran, and North Korea leads to further erosion of the sanctions regime
14.09
Review
Oil to the Rescue: Saudi Arabia is Russia's key ally in its war in Ukraine
13.09
Review
War of Budgets: Russia's invasion of Ukraine has prompted Europe to rearm
13.09
Review
The Coup Belt: Escalating ‘great’ and ‘middle power rivalries fuel revolutions in Africa
12.09
Review
The East is a Long Way Off: Russian exporters have shifted their focus from the EU to Asia, albeit at the cost of volumes and margins
11.09
War
Review
Battle of The Reserves: Experts believe Ukraine is more effective than Russia in a war of attrition
11.09
Review
Wage stagnation: Relocation and mobilisation have undermined the effect of stimulative economic policies
08.09
Review
Deceived expectations: Russian elites between nationalism and Putinism in polls over two decades
08.09
Review
In a 'trade-driven transformation', Germany remains reluctant to sever ties with Russia
07.09
Polls
Review
Peace without Concessions: Surveys show that most Russians want an end to the war but are not ready to give up what they have won
06.09
Review
Recovery Bubble: Budget and credit activities are pushing the economy beyond its potential
06.09
Review
Ukrainian Resilience: Fatigue and frustration are on the rise, but the will to resist remains strong, polls show
05.09
War
Review
Who Will Win the War of Attrition? Analysts say that Ukraine has a chance of success if it adjusts its tactics properly
05.09
Review
War in the Shadow of Elections: If Trump's rhetoric manages to persuade non-partisan voters, the Biden administration will likely be forced to scale back its assistance to Ukraine
04.09
Repressions
Review
Putin's Conveyor Belt: The new practice of bringing treason charges may bring repression to a whole new level
04.09
Review
Pre-Election Standstill with a Plus Sign: Recovery growth has been hit by structural constraints
31.07
Review
Putin's Last Chance: Europe has minimised its dependency on Russian gas, but the Kremlin still has room for blackmail
31.07
Propaganda
Review
Intensive Normalisation: Russian propaganda is aimed not at mobilising citizens, but at forcing ritual loyalty
28.07
Review
Escape from War: New data puts the number of Russians who have left at more than 800,000 people
28.07
Review
Halal or haram? The war in Ukraine is deepening the divide between 'official' and 'unofficial' Islam in the North Caucasus
27.07
Repressions
Review
Scope and Duration: Analysis of repression in Russia reveals that although the overall magnitude of these actions has not significantly increased, their severity has heightened over time
26.07
Review
As an inevitable economic slowdown approaches, enterprises are adjusting their expectations, leading to a moderation in the business climate
25.07
Review
Nuclear Numbness: In the thirty years since the end of the Cold War, perceptions of the nuclear threat have dulled considerably in both Russia and the United States
24.07
Review
Inverted Sentiment: Russians’ social well-being is influenced by their political leanings
21.07
Review
Keeping under the Price Cap: Sanctions against oil have hit the Russian budget but are still allowing for the accumulation of shadow reserves abroad
20.07
China
Review
Proxy War Dynamics: China sees Russia more as an agent of its own confrontation with the US than as an ally or partner
20.07
Review
Electoral Control Show: How the Kremlin is preparing for the 2023-2024 election cycle in the midst of war
19.07
War
Review
Death Toll: The number of Russian soldiers killed in the war with Ukraine is likely in the range of 50,000-65,000 individuals
19.07
Review
Demand Overheating: Central Bank plans to cool the economy with a rate hike to prevent inflation from accelerating ahead of elections
18.07
Polls
Review
Militarists, the semi-war party, and the semi-peace party: sociological data allow us to identify the main groups in attitudes towards war in Russian society
18.07
China
Review
Island vs. Mainland: Experts examine Taiwan's ability to resist a Chinese invasion
17.07
Review
Media Optimists: Consumer confidence index has peaked due to Russians’ confidence in the favourable prospects of the national economy
17.07
Review
Transport Loop: Russia has successfully reoriented its logistics from west to east, defying economic logic
14.07
Review
Reversing Nuclear Disarmament: The war in Ukraine has provoked a new nuclear arms race and eroded trust and communication among nuclear powers
14.07
Review
Rebellious Rate: The sharp weakening of the ruble has exposed the fundamental instability of the economy and may slow its recovery
12.07
Review
Sovereign Drilling: Restricting access to Western technology may not affect the oil industry as much as previously thought
12.07
Review
Losing The Energy War: A pan-European Survey shows significant improvement in the economic outlook, consolidated support for Ukraine and increased defence Spending
11.07
Review
Good, bad, evil: Vladimir Putin is not trusted anywhere in the world except India, while Volodymir Zelensky's image 'is not so clear'
10.07
War
Review
500 Days of the New Old War: The protracted military conflict in Ukraine has upended notions of modern warfare, but has not changed its essence
10.07
Review
Cracks in Public Opinion: Sustaining a high level of cohesion within Ukrainian society is becoming increasingly challenging amidst the protracted war and occupation of parts of the country’s territory
07.07
Review
Military-oil stimulus: Russian industry continues to recover thanks to unprecedented government spending
06.07
Repressions
Review
Framing Public Violence: the proliferation of public apologies indicates a normalisation of physical violence towards dissenters
05.07
Prigozhin
Review
Aftertaste of Rebellion: The level of support for Prigozhin is estimated to be at least 20% after the rebellion, but it could potentially be significantly higher
04.07
Review
Alliance or union? The West is spending significantly less on assistance to Kyiv than it did on its allies in previous military conflicts
04.07
Ideologies
Review
The War of Patriotism: Russia's extensive campaign of school militarism is designed to suppress the modern attitudes of Russian youth
03.07
Polls
Review
Rebellion and Peace: The share of those who believe it is time to move to peace talks with Ukraine has increased, while a significant part of society sympathises with the Prigozhin uprising
30.06
Sanctions
Review
Southern Corridor: The West is struggling to disrupt the supply of electronics to Russia, with investigators uncovering new schemes and channels for such deliveries
29.06
Polls
Review
Loyal but weary: A new poll indicates a gradual erosion of the dominant pro-war rhetoric in the public sphere
29.06
Sanctions
Review
Sanctions Counteroffensive: Even a partial restriction of the 'grey' import of microelectronics to Russia could shift the balance of power on the battlefield
28.06
China
Review
Chinese Boomerang: If Beijing attacks Taiwan, sanctions against China will have catastrophic consequences not only for China but also for the West and the entire world
27.06
Review
Best of the Worst: Russian entrepreneurs’ optimism reflects their social attitudes rather than the realities of the business climate
26.06
Repressions
Review
Totalitarian Putinism: Amid the successful suppression of protests against the war, Russian authorities are increasingly expanding the use of totalitarian practices to combat dissent
23.06
Review
Sky-high Optimism with Uncertain Prospects: Russian business climate index remains at decade-high levels for no particular reason
23.06
Future
Review
Paths for the Future: Possible scenarios for to a long-ruling autocrat who unleashes war
22.06
Review
The Great Reconstruction: RAND Corporation outlines a Marshall Plan for Ukraine
21.06
Review
Dwindling Philanthropy: Russian donations have decreased in scale, but they still demonstrate a willingness to donate
20.06
Review
From the Triumph of Ostpolitik to the Collapse of Russlandpolitik: How Germany is saying goodbye to its former strategy towards Russia and what will replace it, an article by Alex Yusupov for Re: Russia
19.06
Review
Uncertain America: the number of Americans who think aid to Ukraine is excessive has almost stopped growing, but debates about the scale and purpose of this assistance will continue
19.06
Review
Oil Peak' Nears as Russia's Market Share Decreases
16.06
Review
Threat to Germany: The soaring popularity of the German far-right poses a new challenge for the European coalition supporting Ukraine
16.06
Sanctions
Review
Import Substitution: Most Russian companies will be unable to abandon foreign equipment or raw materials in the near future
15.06
Polls
Review
Between China and Belarus: The war has changed Russians' perception of their friends and enemies, but the new picture of geopolitical solidarity appears artificial and circumstantial
15.06
China
Review
The China Question': While Europe's stance towards Russia has been defined, there remains uncertainty regarding China
14.06
Review
Berlin's Zeitenwende: Germany has adopted its first National Security Concept, and experts advise preparing for worst-case scenarios with Russia
14.06
Sanctions
Review
Artisanal Digital Authoritarianism: Despite the remaining loopholes for circumventing sanctions, the Russian IT sector is doomed to degrade
13.06
Review
Borders of Peace: Only 10% of Ukrainians are prepared to settle for 'peace in exchange for territory', but around 30% might consider a return to February 2022 demarcation lines, surveys show
13.06
Review
Geography of the ‘Special Military’ Economy: Natalya Zubarevich discusses how war and sanctions have changed the Russian economy
12.06
Review
Better than worse: the World Bank predicts that the global economy will see accelerated growth by 2025, but Russia’s economy will not
09.06
Future
Review
The Cradle of Disintegration: Will the North Caucasus Once Again Become the Epicentre of Separatism in Russia?
09.06
Sanctions
Review
Slow Poison: Russia has failed to replace the imports of high-tech goods hit by direct sanctions
08.06
Polls
Review
After Bakhmut: The number of supporters of continuing the war increased in Russia in May, but so did uncertainty about the possibility of victory
07.06
War
Review
Ukrainian Counteroffensive: Soviet-inherited management style has the potential to hinder the accumulated advantages of the Ukrainian armed forces
05.06
Sanctions
Review
The Russian car market has taken a step back, reverting to the structure it had in the 2000s and potentially heading towards becoming more like China
05.06
Future
Review
If Not Putin, Then What: What could Russia be like after the war?
02.06
China
Review
Clay Alliance: Russia-China union may only persist long term if Moscow is pliable
02.06
Review
Unreliable Unity: Despite support for Ukraine, residents of Central and Eastern Europe are highly sensitive to the issue of Ukrainian refugees and susceptible to anti-liberal narratives
01.06
Review
Dangerous 'Losharik': critically important underwater infrastructure could become a proxy war target
31.05
Sanctions
Review
The West intends to continue its fight, threatening to inflict new problems on the Russian economy in the near future
31.05
Review
Realpolitik's creed: Henry Kissinger explains how to prevent World War III and what steps the US should take when it comes to Ukraine, Russia and China. His advice will not please everyone
30.05
Review
Upfront Optimism: Russia's business climate indicator has started to decline after an abnormal surge
29.05
Review
Eurasian backslide: democracy has declined in former socialist countries for the 19th consecutive year
29.05
Review
The repressive justice machine: jury trials are unable to influence the degradation of the Russian judiciary
26.05
Repressions
Review
Stalinism-lite: the scope of repression is widening and is increasingly accompanied by violence
26.05
Review
Non-military defeat: the war in Ukraine has critically undermined Russia's position in the post-Soviet space, polls show
25.05
Review
A Less-Than-Hard Line: RAND analysts discuss the potential for de-escalation in US-Russian relations after the end of the war in Ukraine
25.05
War
Review
Meatgrinder tactics: the Russian army is getting better at fighting, requiring the Western coalition to adjust its military aid to Kyiv
24.05
Polls
Review
Easter Eggs: Russia remains a country with low levels of religiosity, and Russians’ declarative orthodoxy is primarily associated with festive social rituals
24.05
Polls
Review
Russians are tired of Putin and would not mind seeing another person take his place, but the demand for democratisation remains relatively low
23.05
War
Review
Bloody Bakhmut: How have the past four months of battle for the city altered the picture of Russian military losses?
23.05
Review
Russia's Shadow Fleet: How it works and will new sanctions be able to deal with it?
22.05
Review
Blind Patriotism: Why and how russians tend to justify the war
22.05
Review
Nuclear Census: Russia is haunted by its failures in nuclear weapons development but has succeeded in their more active political utilisation
19.05
Review
Polarising Pole: The melting Arctic has emerged as a new arena for geopolitical fragmentation
18.05
Sanctions
Review
Flight Against Sanctions: The government is aiming to commence aircraft fleet localisation by the late 2020s, while airlines are reducing their safety standards and resorting to cannibalisation
18.05
Review
Old Sanctions Have Crumbled New Ones Are Needed: Russia is selling more oil, putting pressure on OPEC+ partners in Asia
17.05
Review
Frustrations of Non-Resistance: The typical Russian both supports and does not support the war at the same time, but does not want to appear to oppose it
17.05
Review
Russia’s Use of Gas as a Weapon Has Stalled: Europe is finding it easier than expected to turn away from Russian fuel
16.05
Review
Export Deadlock: Gazprom will on be able to partially compensate for the the loss of European market by providing significant discounts
16.05
Review
The Nuclear Blackmail Bloc: Nearly 30% of Russians think the possible use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine is justified, with just 15% uncertain about their response
15.05
Review
Accelerating Slowdown: The Russian economy is expected to grow at a slower rate, says Central Bank
12.05
Review
In Russia, Telegram has become the primary Internet platform for young people, surpassing YouTube in reach and WhatsApp in average daily user time
11.05
Review
Relocating to the Caucasus: the political profiles of the new Russian diasporas in Georgia and Armenia are markedly different
10.05
Polls
Review
Anticipating the Counteroffensive: Public Opinion Surveys Suggest Concern and Unfocused Negativity about the War, but Not Even Electronic Summonses Have Provoked Outrage
10.05
Review
Stagnation and Resilience: 2023 will pose significant challenges for Russia’s regional budgets, but the problems will be passed on to the federal budget
08.05
Review
The Issue of Fatigue: In the upcoming presidential race, Republican ‘isolationists’ may exploit American public fatigue over the Russia-Ukraine war
05.05
Review
The Beneficiaries of Non-Alignment: The West, Russia and China are competing for the favour of the most prominent neutral powers, Brazil and India, which the latter will not hesitate to take advantage of
05.05
China
Review
The Strategic Stranglehold: what Russia-China trade data tells us about the future of their relationship
02.05
Sanctions
Review
How Sanctions Have Changed the Kremlin’s Strategy in Ukraine: according to experts, the Russian army’s weakness is no longer people but weapons
02.05
Review
Multipolar Disapproval: Nations that have not joined sanctions do not necessarily support Russia's invasion of Ukraine
28.04
Review
A Dangerous Union: the Moscow-Beijing rapprochement alarms the West, forcing a consolidation of public opinion
27.04
Review
From High Mobilisation to a More Moderate Approach: Ukrainian public opinion remains consolidated but has grown more critical of the country's leadership
27.04
Prigozhin
Review
The New Insincerity: Prigozhin’s associates are receiving contracts to create a new media system to spread propaganda in the occupied territories
26.04
Sanctions
Review
The One-Sided Fence: American chips worth hundreds of millions of dollars are entering Russia via China, and there seems to be no way to prevent this
25.04
Repressions
Review
The Punitive Machine: prosecutions for anti-war attitudes continue to rise, with hundreds of people from increasingly diverse backgrounds already prosecuted
25.04
Review
The Ageing of Runet: The number of older daily Internet users has increased markedly over the past year, while news aggregators have been losing popularity to Telegram
24.04
Review
The Business Climate Index Reaches Ten-Year High: the economy is benefiting from record-breaking export revenues, just as it did in 2013
24.04
China
Review
Disarmament race: With help from Russia, China could achieve nuclear parity with the US
21.04
Review
Right vs Right: the ban on Ukrainian agricultural exports to Europe is aimed at preventing the fracturing of Europe’s left-right coalition in their support of Ukraine
20.04
Review
Consumption Inertia: Russians are spending far less on durable goods than they could, an important feature of the current economic crisis
20.04
Review
(In)visible Waves: Although the War May Not Be Evident in Labour Migration Statistics, Total Migration Turnover in 2022 was the Largest in Russian History
19.04
Review
Negative Employment: low labour mobility is hampering the structural transformation of the economy and fueling inflation
19.04
Review
A New Era: The NATO Summit in Vilnius will decide what steps the Alliance will take to adjust to a new era of strategic confrontation, with a focus on financing
18.04
Review
‘Putin’s Witnesses’ in Africa: why public support for Ukraine remains low among African countries
17.04
Review
Growing Locally: the Russian IT industry has managed to avoid crisis thanks to government import substitution measures
14.04
War
Review
A natural ally: Artificial intelligence is becoming an increasingly important tool in warfare, but it requires access to an extensive civilian digital infrastructure
13.04
Review
Europe and the US to Avoid Recessions, but Global Economic Growth to Remain Subdued
12.04
Polls
Review
Crimean relapse: since the start of the war poll respondents see Russia as more developed, wealthy, and free than they did during peacetime
12.04
Review
Shadow of the KGB: the archaic methods used by Russia's security services played a major role in the launch of Europe’s largest war in the last 70 years
11.04
Sanctions
Review
Negative Mixed Effect: a quarter of industrial enterprises have benefited from the ‘positive’ effect of sanctions, but this will eventually lead to the growth of a ‘stagnant sector’ in industry
10.04
Propaganda
Review
The ‘Vulkan’ leak: documents from a little-known firm reveal Russia's digital authoritarianism strategy
07.04
Review
Out of Sync Under Sanctions: positive trends in industrial production fail to transform into full economic recovery
07.04
Sanctions
Review
Europe is set to buy $70 billion dollars worth of oil and gas from Russia this year, but even with tougher sanctions, Putin’s regime is unlikely to be crippled
07.04
Repressions
Review
Russia’s Repression Reaches New Heights: the number of sentences resulting in incarceration increased significantly in early 2023, as did the length of the terms being handed out
06.04
Review
Anti-war Archipelago: how Russians are resisting the war that the Russian government is waging in Ukraine
05.04
Review
Neverending horror: An authoritarian leader might compensate for the failure of a ‘small victorious war’ by carrying out a protracted, deadlocked conflict
04.04
Polls
Review
General Demobilisation: Russian society is paying less attention to the war in Ukraine and support for the ‘special operation’ continues to wane
03.04
Review
Frozen Wealth: The West lacks the legal mechanisms to utilise frozen Russian assets to help Ukraine
31.03
Review
The War on Science: the decades-long attempt to modernise Russian science and higher education has been virtually wiped out in a single year of the war
29.03
Review
Consumer frustration: Russian citizens are more optimistic about the future of the economy but there has been no change to their spending habits
29.03
Review
The Fight Against the Human Factor: the Russian military has failed to achieve any progress in the robotisation of weapons, although programmes were launched in this field a long time ago
28.03
Review
Trophy Ukraine: an investigation by ‘Novaya Gazeta. Europe’ has revealed the large-scale transfer of property to Russians and their collaborators in the occupied territories
28.03
Review
The Global Autocracy Renaissance: How and Why the World is Becoming Less Free
24.03
Review
The Divided South: there is not necessarily a correlation between lack of support for sanctions and support for Russia
23.03
Mobilisation
Review
The Partial Criminalisation: Russian courts prefer handing down suspended sentences to soldiers so that they can be sent back to the front
23.03
Review
Aggressive but Weak: According to American intelligence, Russia poses less danger today than it did a year ago as a result of its military failures in Ukraine
22.03
Review
The Deficit Recovery: the business climate indicator has continued to show improvement thanks to the Russian government’s cash injections into the economy
21.03
Review
The Gas Cold War: Europe has overcome its gas dependency on Russia through fortune rather than designи
21.03
Repressions
Review
The Courts as Guardians of The War: in the past year, over 3,800 people have received administrative penalties in Russia for their anti-war positions; the state has levied over 143 million rubles in fines
20.03
China
Review
From minimum deterrence to maximum threat: will China enter into a nuclear arms race with the US?
20.03
Sanctions
Review
Will Russia have enough money for the war? Oil prices are falling, but the IEA predicts an increase in demand by the end of the year, rendering sanctions ineffective
17.03
Review
Dictator at War: Lessons from the Protracted Iran-Iraq War of the 1980s
15.03
Prigozhin
Review
The Chef in the Kitchen of Dirty Deeds: researchers have mapped the company activity of Yevgeny Prigozhin, while The New York Times predicts that he will continue to battle for political influence after military defeat
14.03
Review
The Geography of Weapons: the war in Ukraine has significantly altered the structure of the global arms trade, with Russia on the way to losing its position as the world’s second-largest arms exporter
13.03
China
Review
Domestic Foreign Policy: Biden will need to reckon with the fact that Americans largely perceive China as the greatest threat to US interests, not Russia
10.03
Review
Import Substitution Woes: companies using Russian-made products report quality issues
10.03
War
Review
War Data: OSINT technology has transformed modern warfare into a ‘people’s warfare’, so that now anyone with an Internet connection can take part
08.03
Review
An Illusion of Growth: even if the central bank improves its forecast for the Russian economy, the quality of growth will remain low
07.03
Polls
Review
The Fog of War and The Climate of Opinion: polls indicate rising pro-war sentiments, increasingly positive assessments of the success of the ‘special military operation,’ and growing fear of pollsters
07.03
Review
Optimistic Stagnation: despite optimism from business managers and the government, Russian industrial production fell at the beginning of 2023
06.03
Propaganda
Review
The Non-Mobilising Web: How pro-Kremlin media laid the groundwork for the invasion of Ukraine
03.03
Review
Anxious Loyalty: Appeals to the President from Russian citizens reflect the evolving profile of social well-being in the midst of war
02.03
Review
Burning Daylight: Sanctions against Russian oil are ineffective due to a lack of effective compliance and control mechanisms
28.02
Review
Tactical migration: The levels of labour migration grew in 2022, but are still far below pre-pandemic levels. The Russian authorities are seeking to use these migrants as resources for their war
27.02
Review
Re: Russia in the First Year of the War. Six critical analytical perspectives
24.02
Review
Grave Loyalty: the payouts offered by the Russian government for those killed in Ukraine are worth only slightly more than the price Russians place on their own lives
23.02
Polls
Review
Coercive Cohesion: both in Russia and Ukraine, the results of opinion polls should be treated with caution during times of war
22.02
Review
How Effective Has the Government’s Support for Small Businesses Been? Not very effective at all, according to data collected by FOM
21.02
Review
Humanitarian Mission or Genocide? Russia is implementing a programme for the re-education of Ukrainian children taken from the occupied territories
20.02
Review
Global Risk Society: the Russian-Ukrainian war has increased global risk perceptions, but differences between countries continue
20.02
War
Review
Big War Returns: what lessons have been learnt a year into the first major conventional military campaign of the 21st century?
17.02
Review
A Revision of Revisionism: A new Munich Security Report contends that, in order to successfully confront the world’s autocrats, the West must revise its vision of the international order
17.02
Sanctions
Review
Who is Helping Russia Fight? As the war approaches its one-year mark, sanctions remain largely symbolic according to Russian customs data
16.02
Review
Changing Identity: How have politics altered Russia’s demographics since the 2021 National Census?
15.02
Review
Winter is Coming: experts advise the EU to reduce its gas consumption in preparation for next year
13.02
Polls
Review
Navalny Forgotten: the politician's significant decline in the politician’s visibility and recognition over the past 11 months appears to be yet another paradox of wartime public opinion
10.02
Review
Communities and Hromadas: how effective self-governance reform has helped Ukraine to resist the invasion
10.02
Review
Apples and Oranges: Russian industries post opposing statistics
09.02
Review
Prolonged War or Imminent Defeat? American think tank RAND Corporation presents the Biden administration with an alarmist plan
07.02
Review
Between a Rock and a Hard Place: the vast majority of Russian businesses report rising costs, but low demand prevents price increases
07.02
Review
Invisible Violence: unorganised extremism and hate becomes less visible as state repression increases
06.02
Repressions
Review
Online on the Line: repression of free speech and the war have led to the construction of ‘Runet 2.0’ and the ever-increasing isolation of the original
06.02
Review
Staffing Gaps: war and sanctions have led to a worker shortage in Russia despite record low unemployment
03.02
Review
Is the West Experiencing War Fatigue? What Opinion Polls Tell Us About the Willingness of America and Germany to Extend Military Support to Ukraine
02.02
Review
‘The Putin Effect”: the Russian invasion has led to increased support for democracy and European integration, even among residents of Southern Europe.
02.02
Review
Horizontal Stabilisation: central bank analysts confirm that while Russia’s economy has adapted to sanctions, most industries will continue to stagnate
01.02
Sanctions
Review
The Not-so-peaceful Atom: can Europe afford sanctions against Russian nuclear power?
01.02
Review
Rising Budget Optimism: January’s economic activity was boosted by large end-of-year funding injections by the government
31.01
Review
Civil Society: one in five rubles allocated by presidential grants is spent on pro-war projects, while socially oriented NGOs face financial hardship
31.01
War
Review
Hidden by the Fog of War: assessing the number of civilian casualties in Ukraine
30.01
Repressions
Review
Tightening the Screws: since the beginning of December, Russian authorities have identified a new foreign agent and opened a new criminal case every day
30.01
Review
A Discordant Chorus of Hawks: how authoritarian wartime public policy works
26.01
Review
Economic Demobilisation: polling by FOM shows that the mood among small businesses significantly deteriorated in the autumn of 2022
25.01
Review
The Central Bank and Consumers Want More ‘Toxicity’: the fate of the ruble depends on the effectiveness of Western sanctions on Russian oil
24.01
Review
The Allies vs Everyone Else: although the world may condemns the Russian invasion, only certain countries are willing to fund Ukraine’s resistance
23.01
Review
The Sanctions Struggle: politicians and experts are focused on the question of how best to enforce restrictions on high-tech imports
19.01
Polls
Review
Foreign Agents and Wartime Anomalies: polling shows increasing distortions in public opinion in 2022
18.01
Review
L-shaped Stability: end of year industrial production in Russia neither declined nor grew
17.01
War
Review
Counter Mobilisation: the quantity of weapons promised to Ukraine is not enough to compensate for Russia's advantage in the next stage of the war
16.01
Review
A Decade of Darkness: how the war in Ukraine has altered our understanding of the future of humanity
13.01
Review
The Favourable Crisis Climate: businesses have improved their assessments of trade conditions, but express little hope for drastic improvements in the future
12.01
Review
An Imperialist War But Not a Nationalist one: the Russian right has grown their audience, but their agenda is now indistinguishable from that of the government.
11.01
Review
Generals Preparing for a Future War: foreign policy experts identify lessons to be learnt from the war in Ukraine
22.12.22
Review
In The Embrace Of Hate: the Kremlin's policy has radically altered the geopolitical orientation of Ukrainian society
21.12.22
Propaganda
Review
Guns Instead of Butter: the Russian pro-government media is more willing to tell the public about the war, and are ‘squeezing’ economic topics out of the news agenda
20.12.22
Review
‘With Ukraine, Against Ukrainians.’ Poland Has Taken in a Record Number of Ukrainian Refugees, but According to Experts, Such an Influx of Migrants Is Fraught With Increasing Social Tension
19.12.22
Review
Opium For Europe: lack of a competitive alternative to Russian gas makes pragmatists discuss the hypothetical possibility of its return to the European market
15.12.22
Review
Post-War Reforms In Ukraine Will Be Aimed At Broad Integration With The EU And Non-Cooperation With Russia
14.12.22
Review
De-Russification Of Ukraine: Russian aggression became the major factor in the consolidation of Ukraine as a nation-state
13.12.22
Review
Negative Adaptability: the Russian economy copes with the shocks of war and sanctions through strategic simplification
12.12.22
Polls
Review
Normative Loyalty: loyalty to the war and official rhetoric among pollsters surveyed remains high, although there are very few war enthusiasts
09.12.22
War
Review
Failed State: even early 2000s "terrorists" are sent to fight in Ukraine
09.12.22
Review
"Ukraine Comes First": Berlin has recognized the exhaustion and fallacy of the course toward special relations with Russia, which it has adhered to for the last fifty years
08.12.22
Review
Sustained Unsustainable Stagnation: the Russian economy is supported by technological regression, the production of shells and military uniforms
07.12.22
Review
Statistical Illusion: Russia has mostly restored its imports, but not the right one, and not from the right places
06.12.22
Polls
Review
The War Is Stuck: the tension of mobilisation has diminished, supporters of peace negotiations remain in the majority, but a less overwhelming one
05.12.22
Review
A Preventive Defeat: no matter how the war ends, Russia will come out of it weakened and will be forced to adopt a "self-limiting" policy, experts say
02.12.22
Sanctions
Review
The Race of Restrictions: sanctions may not critically damage a large economy, but they may permanently undermine its technological competitiveness potential
01.12.22
Review
Black Swans Through Rose-tinted Glasses: consumer sentiment and economic expectations of Russians in November improved again after the fall of October
30.11.22
Review
Expectations Oscilloscope: business climate index fluctuates along with shifts in business sentiment amid stagnation, low demand, and deteriorating lending conditions
29.11.22
Propaganda
Review
"Kremlin Trolls Never Sleep": Russian propaganda campaigns on European social media are not very effective but can cause problems in crisis situations
29.11.22
Repressions
Review
Autumn Repressions: decline of protests and detentions, development of the fight against "foreign agents," and totalitarian practices
28.11.22
Mobilisation
Review
The Stolen War: mobilisation in Russia is carried out by a special presidential department, but only one-fifth of allocated funds were spent for their intended purpose
28.11.22
Review
Lending For The Poor: loan portfolio dynamics indicates rising business costs and shrinking consumers' demand
24.11.22
Review
Retail vs. the State Statistics Service: Russians reduce purchases and suffer from the crisis despite the official statistics
23.11.22
Review
COP27 Summary: the war in Ukraine has aggravated disputes over energy transition strategies, but Russia will be able to take minimal advantage of its stretched scenario
23.11.22
War
Review
Criminal-Patriotic War: the contractual army crisis has forced the Kremlin to rely on informal armies and criminal contingents
22.11.22
Repressions
Review
The Fight Against Vandalism, Punitive Psychiatry, and the Criminalization of Geography: Major Trends in the Repressive Activities of the Russian Authorities
21.11.22
Review
A Shot in Both Legs: war and sanctions deprive the Russian economy of the opportunity to adapt to the energy transition, China will take advantage of Russia
17.11.22
Review
Nuclear Non-Deterrence: war in Ukraine makes non-conclusion of a new treaty on strategic offensive arms limitation more plausible
17.11.22
Review
Offshorization of Integration: war and sanctions are leading to a fundamental change in the Eurasian Economic Union's nature
16.11.22
China
Review
Systemic Chinese Threat: experts discuss how the United States can maintain its leadership
16.11.22
Polls
Review
The Inclusion Of Occupied Ukrainian Territories In Russia Has Not Met Any Emotional Response Among Russians: by the end of October, only 6% of the respondents remembered about this event
15.11.22
Review
Double Pressure: Russia's budget problems will sharply aggravate in the first half of 2023
15.11.22
War
Review
Negotiating a Future War: the world wants Ukraine to agree on freezing the conflict, while Putin has already created a pretext for a new invasion
14.11.22
Propaganda
Review
Telegram's Frankenstein: how social media dynamics are changing the political agenda in Russia
11.11.22
Review
Russia Is Losing Its Political and Military Influence in Central Asia, But Still Holds Sway Over Television
09.11.22
Review
Forecast Fog: the Russian Central Bank has improved its forecast for the Russian economy, but admits that reality could worsen it
08.11.22
Review
The New Digital Order: digital assets will be developed to bypass sanctions in cross-border payments
08.11.22
Review
A Passing Casualty: the build-up of a "regional grouping" In Belarus indicates rather the dismantling Of Belarusian sovereignty than preparing for war
04.11.22
Review
October Worsening: leading economic indicators show sharp drop in services
04.11.22
Propaganda
Review
Twitter Weapons: the war of narratives around the confrontation between Russia and the West is taking over the world and has been moderately successful so far
03.11.22
War
Review
The Kremlin Is Betting on Human Forces in the War, But With the Support of the Western Coalition Kyiv Will Be Able to Counteract It by Building up Technological Advantage and Mobility of Troops, Analysts Say
02.11.22
Review
The Fading Face of the Non-Military Economy: in September, industry was still showing signs of recovery. In October, there will be nothing left of It but a defense sector
02.11.22
Sanctions
Review
Not Everyone Has Left: the exodus of iconic international brands from Russia made a lot of noise, but in reality, about half of the foreign companies that worked here before the war still remain on the Russian market
01.11.22
Review
Mobilisation of Pessimism: surveys record slight increase in Inflation expectations and significant decline in expectations about the economic future
31.10.22
Polls
Review
Support For the War Among Russians Is Rapidly Declining But Has Not Yet Converted Into Rising Opposition, New "Levada-Center" Polls Show
28.10.22
War
Review
Russia Has a Developed Infrastructure for Biological Weapons Production, Which Can Be Used in the War with Ukraine
28.10.22
Repressions
Review
Monitoring of Repressions: decline in anti-mobilisation protests, increase of criminal prosecutions and "foreign agents" punishment
26.10.22
Review
Due to the War with Ukraine, Russia is Losing influence in the Post-Soviet Territory, but it Could Lead to Serious Destabilisation in the Whole Region
25.10.22
Review
Municipal Cleansing: the Kremlin has crushed the remains of the opposition onslaught of the late 2010s
25.10.22
Review
Geography of the Sanctions Crisis: reorientation to the East undermines the competitiveness of the Russian economy
24.10.22
Polls
Review
"To Be a Man": polls show fairly high loyalty to the announced mobilisation despite gradual decline in the war support
24.10.22
Review
Frontal Reversal: Russian business climate is back to the crisis, Central Bank of Russia monitoring shows
20.10.22
Review
The Last Herald: The Central Bank of Russia admits that mobilisation has suspended economic stabilisation
20.10.22
Review
Exports of Corruption and Corruption in Exports: Transparency International notes another deterioration in the fight against corruption in international trade
19.10.22
Review
The Partial Mobilisation of Fridges: Washington Report sheds light on eight months of sanctions against “Putin’s War” and the Russian Military Complex
19.10.22
Polls
Review
Despite War Fatigue, Ukrainian Society Not Polarised on Key Issue: its occupied territories must be returned
18.10.22
Polls
Review
The Frustration of the Mobilisation: Russian Society’s Spring-Summer Optimism Replaced by Confusion and Scepticism
07.10.22
Review
Left-right "Anti-colonialism": why India does not support Western sanctions
06.10.22
Mobilisation
Review
Fraud Mobilisation: the authorities reported the draft of 200 thousand people in two weeks but don't know what to do with them
05.10.22
Review
Optimistic Recession: September's leading economic indicators show improvement despite demand stagnation
05.10.22
Future
Review
Russia After: amid Putin's failure in the war with Ukraine, experts and elites focus more on power transit scenarios and the search for a presidential successor
04.10.22
Review
IMF warns of a widespread hunger threat in the poorest countries, and Russia will likely use the "Grain Deal" to criticize the West but won't break it
03.10.22
Review
For the first time since 1975, Russia has a negative migration balance, and by the end of the year, the population will decrease by more than a million
03.10.22
Review
Paradoxes of Adjustment: long-term economic expectations worsen, but lowered expectations make assessments of current income and economic situation more positive
27.09.22
Mobilisation
Review
Yandex-Mobilisation: what search requests say about the mood of Russians
26.09.22
Review
Russian’s surge of economic optimism finally over and replaced with stagnation, rather than depression, polls show
23.09.22
Mobilisation
Review
The Special Operation and the Mobilisation: the need to make up for military losses and neutralise the Ukrainian army’s advantage forced the Kremlin into an unpopular and ineffective decision
22.09.22
Sanctions
Review
As Russia’s seaborne oil exports fall and its budget revenues slide, the negative impact of sanctions on the economy and ordinary Russians increases
21.09.22
Review
The New Russians: most successful and critical part of society leaving the country
20.09.22
Review
European experts recommend the EU to implement a comprehensive plan for Ukraine; a strategy for ensuring its development and integration into European society, bypassing routine procedures
20.09.22
Review
The European Union needs a coordinated approach to address the energy crisis. instead, member States are Opting for inward-looking national policies
19.09.22
Polls
Review
Geopolitics, Escapism, Depression: Researchers have analysed 213 interviews to understand Russians' attitudes to war
19.09.22
Review
Two thirds of Americans believe the US should support Ukraine until it returns all occupied territories
16.09.22
Review
Russia’s Asian breakthrough unlikely to happen soon, according to Central Bank’s analytical review of the problems plaguing the Russian export sector
15.09.22
Review
Faltering propaganda and the theft of the opposition’s language: Russian propaganda highly adaptable, hijacks words used by war dissidents
14.09.22
Repressions
Review
Resisting the resistance: repressions against Opponents of the war are systematic, but not widespread
14.09.22
Review
The Battle for People: forcible removal of Ukrainians to Russian territory should be classified as deportation and war сrimes, Human Rights Watch says
13.09.22
Review
The Economy of Waiting: after four months of growth PMI Business Activity Index falls; slump of the Central Bank’s similar index stopped only by entrepreneurs faith in a prosperous future
12.09.22
Review
The Road to Turkmenistan: regional elections in 2022 clouded in silence, intimidation and the mobilisation of “state-dependent” voters
12.09.22
Review
Re: Russia — Relaunch: new website, new design and a convenient way to sign up for our newsletter
12.09.22
Polls
Review
The opinions of Russians on whether to continue military action in Ukraine or move to peace talks are almost evenly divided, Levada Center poll shows
05.08.22
Sanctions
Review
The Hybrid Resistance Economy: Russian Central Bank outlines the financial architecture of Russian economy's survival “without the West”
04.08.22
War
Review
Cyber War: international cooperation and horizontal coordination helped Ukraine resist Russian cyber aggression, experts believe
29.07.22
Review
IMF described scenarios for a complete halt to Russian gas supplies and its consequences for Europe: with market integration and higher consumer prices the damage will be half as much
28.07.22
Review
Gloomy and Gloomier: IMF has lowered its Global Economic Forecast and predicts stagnation for European economies and the US if Russian gas supplies are cut off
27.07.22
Review
The first crisis wave continues to subside, Central Bank survey shows
25.07.22
Repressions
Review
Limit on Party Voting and Attack on Freedom of the Speech: how the authorities are getting ready for the September elections
21.07.22
Sanctions
Review
The number of companies experiencing issues with import supplies has halved, but remains high, surveys of the Central Bank show
19.07.22
Review
The decline dynamic in the Russian economy is fairly modest due to the economy’s relatively Low engagement in the global value chains, analysts of the Central Bank of Russia believe
18.07.22
Review
The Сrisis is yet to peak, and the formal recession will come in the third quarter, macroeconomic trends show
10.07.22
War
Review
War of Attrition: The outcome of the war in Ukraine will depend almost entirely on whether the West can organize arms deliveries in a rational and focused manner
08.07.22
Review
Russian gas exports to Europe could drop by 75% by 2025, it would take Russia at least a decade to redirect that volume to Asia, the International Energy Agency forecasts
06.07.22
Review
Over the past two decades, the level of Russia’s economic diversification has remained virtually unchanged, new international index shows
29.06.22
Sanctions
Review
Worse Gets Better: Central Bank surveys show signs of import substitution, decline of production in extractive industries and a general reduction in the intensity of negative assessments
27.06.22
Polls
Review
Support for Ukraine in Europe remains high, but the differences between Northern and Southern Europe are becoming more pronounced, a Eurobarometer survey shows
27.06.22
Sanctions
Review
The Government should focus on supporting those industries that have been increasingly competitive globally over the past decade, but may lose export markets due to sanctions, experts say
23.06.22
Review
Vicious Circle of Crisis: the war in Ukraine might cause the greatest drop in living standards in the XXI Century for hundreds of million of people, the UN expert group warns
22.06.22
Sanctions
Review
Since the start of the war at least half of the major foreign companies operating in Russia have limited their activities in one way or another, but another half stayed
22.06.22
Review
Reverse Bankrunning: money returned to banks, but the economy shows little demand for it, says the Central Bank May Review of the Banking Sector
21.06.22
War
Review
The Wrong War: Russian Military exercises did not prepare the army for full-scale offensive war
20.06.22
Review
Russian entrepreneurs are optimistic despite more than half of them expecting a drop in sales by year’s end
18.06.22
Review
Russia.Post: sociologists, historians, and political scientists discuss Russia after the invasion of Ukraine
17.06.22
Review
Slowing growth and high global inflation are affecting low-income countries the most, but developed economies are also feeling the hurt, reports by the OECD and the European Investment Bank show
15.06.22
War
Review
Counter-Reform Fallout: British analysts believe that the failures of Russian Intelligence in Ukraine are connected to the way the FSB evolved under Putin
15.06.22
War
Review
The "Genocide" Controversy: the New Lines Institute and the Raoul Wallenberg Centre for Human Rights have attempted to define whether Russian invasion of Ukraine is genocidal in character
14.06.22
Review
By end of year personal incomes could fall by 7–12%, purchase of durable goods will decline and savings will become less attractive
13.06.22
Repressions
Review
181 Blocked Media, 150 Criminal Cases and 59 New Foreign Agents: Russian human rights activists published a report on wartime repressions
10.06.22
Sanctions
Review
70% of German economists believe that tariffs on Russian oil and gas imports are more effective than the embargo. Survey by the ifo Institute
10.06.22
Review
The Law Against Trading with Autocracies: most German economists consider it inconvenient, but necessary
10.06.22
Review
Slowdown in Global Growth and Inflation on the Rise: Is the world in for a long-term stagflation? World Bank forecast
10.06.22
Sanctions
Review
Six Crisis Channels: the Central Bank economists assessed the effect of sanctions on the financial sector
09.06.22
Review
The Decline Gains Momentum: April’s outputs have fallen in seven out of nine sectors of the Russian economy
05.06.22
War
Review
Mediazona discovered 60 tons of parcels sent by Russian soldiers from Ukraine back home, to small towns with a lower standard of living
05.06.22
Review
Summertime Optimism: May PMI Indexes Escaped "the Negative Zone" — Mainly Due to Businessmen's Hopes That Demand Would Grow
29.05.22
Sanctions
Review
Import cuts will cost the Russian economy 4–10% of GDP, while China will only partially replace trade supply from advanced economies, says Bank of Finland Analytics Center
29.05.22
Sanctions
Review
Buyers' Cartel: Russian oil consumers need to negotiate lower prices by setting up an "Anti-OPEC"
27.05.22
Review
User Migration: In three months of war and restrictions by the government social networks in Russia lost 10% of regular contributors and 8% daily content
27.05.22
Review
Reversible Justice: Jury acquittals are on the rise, but the verdicts are being increasingly overturned
27.05.22
War
Review
Commanders of the Invasion: an Investigation by Proekt Media Presented a Portrait of Russian Army Leadership Waging a War in Ukraine
27.05.22
Sanctions
Review
The Geopolitical Polygon: why India would not join sanctions against Moscow
08.05.22
War
Review
"Responsibility to Protect" or "License to Attack": the justification for the Russian aggression against Ukraine once again raises questions about the interpretation of "Sovereignty" and the conditions for its violation