Europe

02.04 Europe Analytics European Unreadiness: The published EU rearmament strategy has exposed problems that are beyond the European Commission's powers to solve The ReArm Europe financial plan and the ‘European Defence Readiness 2030’ report are intended to outline a strategy for rearming the continent and building a security system amid the simultaneous growth of the Russian threat and the weakening of US guarantees. However, they highlight a number of dilemmas that are traditional for projects aimed at deepening European integration. 19.03 Polls Analytics Two and a Half Europes: The Ukrainian question and the future of the continent through the lens of European public opinion European public opinion has been caught off guard by the ‘betrayal’ of the United States and is unprepared to confront the collusion between Putin and Trump, despite the fact that this ‘deal’ significantly diverges from Europeans' ideas of justice and their own values. Europe itself has been divided into two poles and three camps by the Ukrainian issue. 17.03 Europe Analytics An Alternative for Europe: German Bundestag removes budgetary brake on its political self-determination Alex Yusupov The Bundestag has held a vote that could become a turning point in the political history of modern Europe. Lifting the 'debt brake' and borrowing restrictions in the largest European economy will open up opportunities for implementing a rearmament programme for Europe and transforming it into a full-fledged defence union. 05.03 Europe Analytics From Strategic Autonomy to Defence Alliance: Trump's betrayal pushes Europe towards full collective sovereignty Donald Trump's separate negotiations with Putin are forcing Europe to rethink its own collective sovereignty and place on the world stage. Experts believe that, to achieve full strategic autonomy, Europe will need about 10 years and $3 trillion, which would mean increasing total defence spending to 3.5% of GDP. 25.02 Europe Analytics Europe's Strategic Autonomy. Part 1: Are Europeans ‘free riders’ in NATO? The short answer – no Like the Warsaw Pact, which united the socialist bloc, NATO has never been an equal alliance. In an asymmetrical alliance, both expenses and political influence are distributed unevenly. The US demand for Europe to increase military spending almost to the American level is reshaping the alliance's structure and confronting Europe with a historic choice. 20.02 Europe Analytics Europe's Black Swan: Political conflict with Trump pushes Europe towards decisions it could not make before The leaders of 26 European states and Canada have discussed possible sources of funding for the security mission in Ukraine, building up European defence capabilities and an accelerated separation from the US. Experts believe that EU countries should increase military spending to at least 3.5% to approximately $3 trillion over the next ten years. 04.12.24 Europe Analytics Trump's challenge and Europe's dilemma: Will the Old World have time to prepare for a new war? Putin's success in testing a new model of military conflict in Ukraine – a conventional warfare with a nuclear missile ‘up his sleeve’ – dramatically increases the chances of such a scenario being repeated in a European country. The only way for Europe to prevent such a conflict is to achieve significant, or better yet, overwhelming military superiority. 04.07.24 Europe Analytics Right West and Right East: Will Europe’s rightward shift benefit Putin? Divergent views on the war in Ukraine have been one of the main reasons why far-right parties have been unable to form a united faction in the European Parliament. However, the prospect of increased representation in European politics and Europe's fatigue with the war are pushing them to overcome previous disagreements. 10.06.24 Europe Review European Balance: The far-right lacks the power to change Europe's trajectory, but has enough to make it inconsistent and indecisive 07.06.24 Europe Review Europe at Different Speeds: Reforming European military and political institutions should begin without waiting for the agreement of all EU members, according to German experts 06.06.24 Europe Review Rightward Tilt: The European Parliament elections will lead to significant consequences despite only a moderate weakening of the centrist coalition 25.03.24 Europe Review The Right Turn: Is the triumph of the extreme right in Europe inevitable, and what role does Russia play in it? 12.03.24 Europe Analytics Paper Defence And Strategic Dependence: European security strategies will only become a reality with a dramatic increase in defence spending to make up for 20 years of underfunding The war in Ukraine, the need for large-scale military assistance to Kyiv and the direct threat to EU security from Russia have exposed critical problems in Europe's defence capabilities. Current EU military spending falls significantly short of addressing the critical underfunding of European defence capabilities over the past two decades. 01.03.24 Europe Review Slow Aid: Europe can significantly increase support for Ukraine without taking on new commitments, simply by accelerating the implementation of existing ones 21.12.23 Europe Review Accession Movement: The issue of Ukraine's accession to the EU exposes the fault lines between different groups of countries within the European community 19.12.23 Europe Review United but divisible: Europeans generally agree on the need for military aid for Ukraine and increased spending on European security, but to varying degrees 14.12.23 Europe Review The Weakness of the Strong: Europe has proven to be unprepared for the dual challenge of Russia's prolonged investment in the war and a potential reduction in US involvement in ensuring European security 17.10.23 Europe Review Elections in Poland and the Unseen Eastern European Battlefront: Public opinion in the region is the weakest link in the chain of ‘European unity’ 03.10.23 Europe Review A Headache for the EU: Ukraine's accession to the European Union will demand serious reforms both in Ukraine and in the Union itself 18.09.23 Europe Review Three Europes: There are varying levels of support for Ukraine across the EU 12.07.23 Europe Review Losing The Energy War: A pan-European Survey shows significant improvement in the economic outlook, consolidated support for Ukraine and increased defence Spending 16.06.23 Europe Review Threat to Germany: The soaring popularity of the German far-right poses a new challenge for the European coalition supporting Ukraine 14.06.23 Europe Review Berlin's Zeitenwende: Germany has adopted its first National Security Concept, and experts advise preparing for worst-case scenarios with Russia 21.04.23 Europe Review Right vs Right: the ban on Ukrainian agricultural exports to Europe is aimed at preventing the fracturing of Europe’s left-right coalition in their support of Ukraine 09.12.22 Europe Review "Ukraine Comes First": Berlin has recognized the exhaustion and fallacy of the course toward special relations with Russia, which it has adhered to for the last fifty years 20.09.22 Europe Review The European Union needs a coordinated approach to address the energy crisis. instead, member States are Opting for inward-looking national policies 27.06.22 Polls Review Support for Ukraine in Europe remains high, but the differences between Northern and Southern Europe are becoming more pronounced, a Eurobarometer survey shows