PAPERS / Доклады
и исследования

#11 Скачать 27.05 The Aftermath of Crocus City Hall Terrorist Attack: Labor Migration Policy, Public opinion and Dysfunctional Autocracy The terror attack at Crocus City Hall was a catastrophic failure by the Russian authorities and security services. However, the Kremlin's dual strategy of blaming Ukraine and the West for the attack along with a large-scale anti-migrant campaign, has allowed the authorities to shirk responsibility for this failure. Authoritarian dysfunction results in human and economic losses but is offset by the successful use of conservative mobilisation tools.
#10 Скачать 16.05 The Last Term’s Great Game of Solitaire: What the dismissals and appointments in government agencies indicate Nikolay Petrov, Kirill Rogov, Oleg Khokhlov By the end of his current presidential term, Putin will be 78 years old, and this an age at which his real managerial control will inevitably weaken. In a scenario of inertia, the configuration of power that will have emerged by that time will largely determine its post-Putin character. This makes the latest reshuffle of the top ranks of the administrative apparatus particularly important.
#9 Скачать 19.02 The Lead-up to the Murder: Navalny and protest politics in Russia Kirill Rogov Alexei Navalny emerged as a central figure in opposition to Putin's authoritarianism, inspiring tens of thousands with the heroism of his fearlessness and fostering a new ethic of resistance. However, Navalny's political biography is not merely a derivative of his heroic persona. The phenomenon of Navalny is shaped by a confluence of expectations and aspirations that he embodied, becoming both a voluntary hostage and a symbol of them.
#8 Скачать 24.01 The Dead Ends of War: How public opinion changed during the second year of the war Elena Koneva, Vladimir Zvonovsky, Kirill Rogov, Alexander Khodykin Sociological studies indicate that the core of real supporters of the war during its second year decreased, and the 'audibility' of the pro-war position in society decreased. This, however, did not lead to an increase in the share of visible opponents of the war. Rather, we can speak of a situation of a kind of deadlock in public opinion, caused by the fear of repression, the consciousness of the impossibility of influencing the course of events, and fears and anxiety about an impenetrable future.
#7 Скачать 09.01 Reaping War: The Russian orthodox church and the Russian invasion of Ukraine Nikolai Mitrokhin Public perception identifies the position of the Russian Orthodox Church with the pro-war statements of Patriarch Kirill, but in reality the position of most of its clergy is determined by a compromise between loyalty to the Kremlin and commitment to the institutional interests of the church. It remains the largest public organisation in a number of post-Soviet countries, demonstrating a similar spectrum of attitudes towards the war as exists in society as a whole.
#6 Скачать 01.03.23 THE PLUNGE INTO WAR: PUBLIC OPINION CHRONICLED While at first glance it may seem as though there is a declarative ‘majority of support’ for the war, there is perhaps more significantly a ‘majority of non-resistance’, which allows the pro-war minority to dominate the public debate. For mainstream Russian society, the ‘plunge into war’ remains a coerced strategy, and the consolidation of revanchist sentiments among one segment of society coexists with the considerable potential for demobilisation within another. Re: Russia presents an overview of the results of public opinion polling conducted by the independent Chronicles project.
#5 Скачать 08.02.23 Worse Than a Crisis. The 2022 Russian economic anomaly: how it works, and where it is headed Oleg Vyugin, Evsei Gurvich, Oleg Itskhoki, Andrei Yakovlev The Russian economy's decline in 2022 was not as severe as economists predicted, but that does not mean it was able to ‘withstand’ the impact of sanctions. These figures merely reflect the effective mobilisation of economic resources, and as the country’s revenues decline, the economy will face investment deficiency, devaluation, budget deficits, and demand contraction — all of which are symptoms of the conventional economic crisis that awaits Russia.
#4 Скачать 28.09.22 An ideology without principles Andrei Zorin, Ekaterina Schulmann, Alexander Panchenko, Gulnaz Sharafutdinova Authoritarian regimes paid great attention to ideological construction in the twentieth century, but in the twenty-first century they have been characterised by ideological passivity. Despite this, Putin's war requires not only military but also political mobilisation. The war requires the construction of ideological narratives that can capture and consolidate the population. In our discussion series, Andrei Zorin, Ekaterina Schulmann, Alexander Panchenko, and Gulnaz Sharafutdinova consider whether the Russian regime has an ideology.
#3 Скачать 12.07.22 The Conservation Effect Sergey Aleksashenko, Kirill Rogov, Yulia Starostina, Oleg Vyugin, Oleg Buklemishev In Russia, the dominant perception is that the impact of sanctions is negligible: in addition to the official optimism of officials and CEOs of large companies, a positive attitude is widespread among the population and a significant part of the business community. How do sanctions actually work and do not work, and why does a country's ability to resist them maximise its long-term losses?
#2 Скачать 02.06.22 The Nazification of Denazification Ivan Kurilla, Grigory Yudin, Arkady Ostrovsky, Marlene Laruelle, Alexander Morozov Comparisons of the Kremlin's ideology with fascism have become almost commonplace, but to what extent are these comparisons a substantive characterisation and to what extent are they part of a 'war of emotions'? What is meant by 'fascism' and what elements and features of it are found in 'ideology Z'?
#1 Скачать 02.06.22 The Imposed Consensus: What do the polls say about support for the war and can they be believed? Mikhail Komin, Kirill Rogov The results of polls on Russians' attitudes towards war have sparked heated discussions: some see them as proof of Russia's imperial-militarist spirit, while others, on the contrary, declare them irrelevant in wartime conditions. Re: Russia has analysed all available data on the attitudes of the Russian population towards the war, the main arguments of the debate and the results of survey experiments.