USA

29.04 USA Analytics Unpopular Populism: Trump's ratings in American polls are falling, but not as dramatically or quickly as liberals would like Trump's main pillar of support in American public opinion has been his anti-immigration campaign, while the most sensitive issue has proven to be the worsening of Americans' economic assessments and expectations. Trump's foreign policy ratings are also declining, particularly his policy on the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. 27.02 USA Analytics State Capture: Trump’s methods of undermining American democracy follow the blueprint of Putin and Orban and have a high chance of success Donald Trump is unlikely to succeed in changing the American constitution and establishing a classic dictatorship. Modern autocrats do not abolish or alter existing institutions but rather seize control of them, restricting freedom while maintaining electoral procedures, formal freedom of speech, and targeted repression. 12.02 USA Analytics Truman, Trump, and Honey: Why shutting down USAID could be the prelude to America’s decline and why Trump is worse than corruption Donald Trump's attack on US aid programmes to foreign countries is aimed not only at corruption, which is inevitable in any budget allocation, but also at the very ideology of aid as a tool of influence. Trump's foreign policy arsenal is focused on a combination of threats and bargaining – there is no room for 'soft power' in it. 07.02 USA Analytics The Right of the Strong and its Weaknesses: Will Trump Succeed by Imitating Beijing's and Moscow's Strategies? By returning to a 'world from a position of strength,' Trump rejects the advantages of the strategies that defined the success of the United States after World War II and steps onto the path of America's opponents. However, the projection of direct power and the art of suppression are territories unfamiliar to Washington but all too well known to its main rivals – Moscow and Beijing. 21.01 USA Analytics The Frenzy of Transactionalism: Why Trump’s path to success begins in Kyiv The primary mission of Trump's new term should be a 'de-escalation of tensions' with Beijing, for which the United States must strengthen, not weaken, its pressure on China. This is exactly how Ronald Reagan, with whom experts compare the new American president, achieved success in the Cold War with the USSR. And for negotiations with China from a position of strength, Trump must not lose Ukraine. 05.11.24 USA Review Russia's ‘Saviour Trump’: Russians hope a Trump victory could break the military and sanctions stalemate 02.11.24 USA Analytics Tuesday of Discord: Why neither of the two candidates will win the US election Not long ago, the sharpest disagreements between American Democrats and Republicans revolved around issues such as healthcare reform and tax rates. Today, pre-election debates are increasingly less about practical policy and more about cultural conflicts that are or appear to be existential. 20.05.24 USA Review A Vicious Cycle: American public opinion recognises the failure of the policy of containing Russia and China, but cannot reach a consensus on key foreign policy issues 03.05.24 USA Review Choosing an Enemy: Despite the approval of the aid package for Ukraine, the debate surrounding the strategic priorities for US foreign policy is not losing steam and will only intensify 16.04.24 USA Review Between Two 'Nos': The threat of a Russian offensive is mobilising US public opinion in support of Ukraine, but not yet enough 06.12.23 USA Analytics North Atlantic Shuffle: How the American partisan debate on foreign policy could change the United States and Europe As we approach the presidential election, strategic uncertainty about the future of US foreign policy is growing. In America, a heated debate is unfolding, while Europe is being forced to rethink seemingly immutable ideas about its security and foreign policy strategies. 24.11.23 USA Review The Palestinian Issue Has Aged Biden: The war in Gaza is demobilising his potential young voters 07.11.23 USA Review Traces of Trumpism: The Ukrainian counteroffensive's failures is evident within the US election battle and may weaken American support for Ukraine 25.10.23 USA Review The Fatigue Myth: Claims of reduced support for Ukraine in the US are not substantiated by the polls 18.10.23 USA Review On Two Nuclear Fronts: New US strategic doctrine envisages the possibility of waging war simultaneously with Russia and China 11.10.23 USA Review Nuclear Dilemma: The United States grapples with a growing global threat 05.09.23 USA Review War in the Shadow of Elections: If Trump's rhetoric manages to persuade non-partisan voters, the Biden administration will likely be forced to scale back its assistance to Ukraine 19.06.23 USA Review Uncertain America: the number of Americans who think aid to Ukraine is excessive has almost stopped growing, but debates about the scale and purpose of this assistance will continue 08.05.23 USA Review The Issue of Fatigue: In the upcoming presidential race, Republican ‘isolationists’ may exploit American public fatigue over the Russia-Ukraine war 13.03.23 China Review Domestic Foreign Policy: Biden will need to reckon with the fact that Americans largely perceive China as the greatest threat to US interests, not Russia 19.09.22 USA Review Two thirds of Americans believe the US should support Ukraine until it returns all occupied territories