India has unequivocally condemned the war in Ukraine, but has not supported the Western sanctions policy. Maintaining a good relationship with Russia is important to India in order to counter China's hegemony, writes Frédéric Grare, Senior Policy Fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations.
In particular, India remains dependent on Russian arms supplies. Although it has gradually drifted away from Russia towards the West in recent years, Western leaders should take India’s conflicting interests into account.
Cutting Off The Tail Piece By Piece: As a result of Trump's new sanctions, oil and gas exports may decline by more than 25% in 2026, and the budget could lose more than 1 trillion roubles
The introduction of sanctions against Russia’s largest oil companies, Rosneft and Lukoil, marked a turning point in Donald Trump’s policy. Having moved away from the idea of tariff pressure, he returned to the sanctions-based approach characteristic of Joe Biden’s administration. This strategy appears less ambitious, but more realistic.
An Ultimatum With a Triple Bottom Line: Why Trump is demanding that NATO impose tariffs on China
As is often the case, absurd populist demands, rational arguments and practical aims in Trump’s ultimatum are tightly interwoven. He manages both to refrain from imposing new pressure on Russia and at the same time to force Europe into buying American gas.
The Regime is Wavering: Russia seeks sanctions relief without making any concessions
To implement the sanctions imposed by Ukraine's allies, the secondary restrictions threatened by the United States against their violators are critical. However, Washington's new course has significantly weakened the perception of this threat and mobilised lobbyists advocating for the lifting of sanctions in the West itself. Will Europe be able to maintain the sanctions regime without US involvement?